Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.834825 0.974946 1.131096 1.317992 1.535624 1.781087 2.079045
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.597917 0.779948 1.005848 1.306752 1.697201 2.187022 2.848874
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.471701 0.665868 0.926049 1.300095 1.824376 2.533827 3.568476
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.394316 0.593538 0.877661 1.312257 1.960770 2.893916 4.341725
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.323297 0.514451 0.802176 1.266537 1.998021 3.107914 4.924614
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.298630 0.499312 0.816230 1.352726 2.239541 3.650120 6.071497
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.253963 0.444333 0.758479 1.314067 2.273846 3.867824 6.725797
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.216713 0.395439 0.702627 1.268382 2.286455 4.046148 7.330992
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.187100 0.355104 0.655074 1.228885 2.301642 4.226387 7.957267
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.171006 0.336788 0.643574 1.251716 2.430167 4.619973 9.017468
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.164533 0.335568 0.662965 1.334189 2.679699 5.264062 10.630168
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.153601 0.323921 0.660660 1.373619 2.849806 5.776211 12.049506
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.139848 0.305076 0.642618 1.380961 2.960627 6.193951 13.352640
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.125875 0.283839 0.617030 1.369452 3.031606 6.541715 14.562190
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.114085 0.265585 0.595130 1.362493 3.110667 6.914999 15.875429
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.105264 0.252689 0.583013 1.375237 3.234339 7.398677 17.497445
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093107 0.230276 0.546600 1.327331 3.212988 7.557025 18.394408
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.091481 0.232803 0.567806 1.417640 3.527478 8.520074 21.317421
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.081868 0.214270 0.536738 1.377133 3.520738 8.728626 22.437753
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.072957 0.196238 0.504504 1.329264 3.489097 8.872621 23.415725
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.065398 0.180648 0.476324 1.287879 3.468282 9.040297 24.476557
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.061785 0.175122 0.473191 1.311801 3.621416 9.667651 26.830612
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.061228 0.177926 0.492299 1.398217 3.953771 10.801764 30.704268